Sabic European Head Office in Sittard, The Netherlands

Sabic, the Saudi chemicals giant majority-owned by Aramco, is preparing to exit its European petrochemicals business—a move that underscores the mounting pressures facing the region’s manufacturing sector. The company’s plants and operations, spanning Germany, Spain, and the UK, are now up for sale, with investment banks Lazard and Goldman Sachs overseeing the process. These assets, which generate billions in annual sales, are among the largest of their kind in Europe.

Why Is Sabic Leaving Europe?

Sabic’s planned departure is not simply a business reshuffle but a reflection of deep-rooted challenges in Europe’s chemicals industry. Over the past several years, European producers have been squeezed by a combination of macroeconomic headwinds, persistent overcapacity, and intensifying global competition. The sector has faced years of oversupply and falling prices, with demand for petrochemicals closely tied to sluggish GDP growth. Sabic itself recently cut its 2025 GDP forecast, citing weaker prospects for the industry as a whole.

The economic backdrop is further complicated by Europe’s high energy prices and strict environmental regulations. European producers pay significantly more for natural gas than their US counterparts, and the cost of emitting carbon dioxide continues to rise under the EU’s ambitious climate policies. While American and Middle Eastern producers benefit from cheaper feedstocks and less stringent emissions rules, European plants—many of them older and reliant on naphtha—struggle to compete. The result is a cost gap of up to $300 per tonne for key products like ethylene and propylene, putting relentless pressure on margins.

Industry Consolidation and Rationalization

These structural disadvantages have triggered a wave of rationalization across the continent. Sabic is not alone: ExxonMobil, Dow, and other multinationals are also closing or idling European assets, as high costs and weak demand make it difficult to justify continued investment in aging facilities. In 2024 alone, nearly 1 million tonnes of ethylene capacity is being permanently phased out, with more closures likely as the industry adapts to the “new normal” of lower profitability and higher sustainability standards.

The European Union’s push for emissions reductions-targeting at least a 55% cut from 1990 levels by 2030-adds another layer of complexity. Modernizing old plants to meet these goals is often more expensive than closing them, and the introduction of mechanisms like the carbon border adjustment tax could further deter outside investment.

Who Might Buy Sabic’s Assets?

With Sabic’s portfolio now on the market, potential buyers are weighing both risks and opportunities. European rivals such as BASF and INEOS may see value in expanding their networks, while Middle Eastern energy firms could be interested but wary of Europe’s carbon costs. Private equity investors, particularly those focused on green technology, are also watching closely, drawn by the chance to modernize facilities and tap into EU subsidies for hydrogen and recycling projects.

Global Shifts and the Road Ahead

Sabic’s strategic pivot comes as the global chemicals market is being reshaped by geopolitics and shifting trade flows. Ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, along with the prospect of increased supply from Iran, are pushing more business toward the Middle East and Asia, further eroding Europe’s traditional advantages. Meanwhile, Sabic and Aramco are doubling down on investments in high-growth Asian markets, including a $6.4 billion petrochemical complex in China, betting on robust demand for plastics and chemicals in the region.

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